Angshu Mallick discusses the pandemic's impact and prospects for the global edible oil market.

Introduction

‍Welcome to The Globoil Post, your source for the latest edible oil and agri-trade news highlights. Today, we bring you an exclusive interview with Angshu Mallick, Deputy CEO of Adani Wilmar, India's leading edible oil brand, Fortune. Mr. Mallick sheds light on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the edible oil industry and shares his observations and positive outlook for the future.

The Lockdown's Impact

‍The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply impacted the global edible oil industry, with estimates of its monetary value difficult to ascertain. The crisis has altered human behavior, affecting consumption patterns, travel habits, and social activities. While out-of-home consumption decreases, demand for packed oils is expected to rise. E-commerce grocery purchases will surge, and reduced travel may lower petroleum product and biodiesel usage. Palm oil consumption might see a decline.

Market Outlook

‍Recovery to normalcy will vary across countries, with China already achieving 80% normalcy in two months. Health and hygiene will be paramount, and consumers will prefer established brands over loose grocery items. Increased use of IT and limited international travel will reshape day-to-day operations. Government investments in infrastructure and rural development will play a significant role in market revival.

Covering Lost Demand

‍Reviving demand depends on the economy's pace of recovery, returning migrant laborers to work, and restoring normalcy. Initial demand might remain subdued for three months but is likely to gradually increase over two to three quarters. Positive forecasts for India's long-term average monsoon hint at good Kharif crop yields, boosting rural economy and increasing spending power, particularly on essential commodities like edible oil.

Conclusion

‍As we navigate through the uncertainties of the COVID-19 pandemic, the edible oil industry faces unique challenges and opportunities. Mr. Mallick's insights provide valuable perspectives on the road to recovery. As the gloom of the pandemic recedes, there's hope for a bright future, with edible oil playing a crucial role in the journey back to normalcy.

‍